On April 9, it was reported that if you plan to spend a sum of money to buy a folding smart phone in the near future, you are one of the few potential buyers of such high-end models. Some manufacturers hope to increase their global market share by introducing such products, but for various reasons, this should not happen in the short term.

According to the foreign media Phonearena, Gartner, an independent consulting company, recently released a market report, pointing out that in addition to the huge challenges in production and high retail costs, the lack of clear "trade-offs" is a key factor in the slow popularization of foldable devices. Foldable smart phones account for only 5% of all high-end smart phone shipments. Gartner believes that in 2023, the number of collapsible smart phones will reach about 30 million. Companies such as Samsung and Huawei need to continue to innovate to make progress in sales.

If Gartner's analysis is correct, according to Apple's previous operation mode, Apple may not launch folding phones too early. However, if companies end their initial exploration and the industry determines the product design that can maximize profits at the most affordable price, Apple should launch the first collapsible iPhone.

Gartner expects that there will be no obvious change in the global smartphone market in the near future. The total shipment volume may decline from 1.81 billion units in 2018 to 1.8 billion units this year, increase to 1.82 billion units in 2020, and then decline to 1.79 billion units in 2021.

According to Gartner's analysis, the smartphone industry will remain stable for a period of time, which means that many companies hope that the sales surge brought by 5G will not happen.

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